Brazil 78-96 Spain

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is under 163.5 points, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict Spain to win at 81%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 163.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 23.1/100
    Odds 1.88 NEO.bet Recorded P/L -24.00
    Best odds 1.90 Casumo Sport
  2. Pick 2 Spain to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake Low 13.1/100
    Odds 1.28 Bwin Recorded P/L +4.49
    Best odds 1.29 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 163.5 64.0% 1.90 52.6% +11.4 pp
Spain to win 81.0% 1.29 77.5% +3.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Brazil

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Iran Away 100-59 W
21 Aug 2023 Serbia Home 85-89 L
20 Aug 2023 Italy Home 87-93 L
17 Aug 2023 Venezuela Home 83-71 W
16 Aug 2023 Australia Away 90-86 W

Spain

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Ivory Coast Home 94-64 W
19 Aug 2023 Dominican Republic Home 86-77 W
17 Aug 2023 Canada Home 80-85 L
13 Aug 2023 USA Home 88-98 L
11 Aug 2023 Slovenia Home 99-79 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Brazil 10 88.2 75.9
Spain 10 85.4 74.9