China 69-89 South Sudan

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is China to win, with a 78% estimated probability. We also predict China to win with -8.5 handicap at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 China to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    78%
    Stake High 70.4/100
    Odds 3.90 Caesars Recorded P/L -70.95
    Best odds 4.12 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 China to win with -8.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake High 58.9/100
    Odds 8.07 1Bet Recorded P/L -59.77
    Best odds 9.51 1Bet
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 157.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 12.2/100
    Odds 1.96 Circus Recorded P/L -14.00
    Best odds 2.00 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
China to win 78.0% 4.12 24.3% +53.7 pp
China to win with -8.5 handicap 64.0% 9.51 10.5% +53.5 pp
Total score under 157.5 57.0% 2.00 50.0% +7.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

China

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Serbia Away 63-105 L
20 Aug 2023 Serbia Home 64-87 L
12 Aug 2023 Germany Away 58-107 L
4 Aug 2023 Cape Verde Away 86-66 W
26 Feb 2023 Iran Home 86-74 W

South Sudan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Puerto Rico Home 96-101 L
17 Aug 2023 Australia Away 67-88 L
16 Aug 2023 Venezuela Home 80-61 W
14 Aug 2023 Brazil Away 75-85 L
26 Feb 2023 Egypt Home 97-77 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
China 10 73.7 76.0
South Sudan 7 82.9 78.3