Venezuela 75-81 Cape Verde

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Venezuela to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 90% estimated probability. We also predict Venezuela to win at 90%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Venezuela to win with -8.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    90%
    Stake High 81.3/100
    Odds 2.15 Cricbaba Recorded P/L -82.31
    Best odds 2.30 Cricbaba
  2. Pick 2 Venezuela to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    90%
    Stake High 62.2/100
    Odds 1.36 Caesars Recorded P/L -86.00
    Best odds 3.50 BetVictor
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 152.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 39.1/100
    Odds 1.91 Bet365 Recorded P/L -39.10
    Best odds 1.91 Bet365
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Venezuela to win with -8.5 handicap 90.0% 2.30 43.5% +46.5 pp
Venezuela to win 90.0% 3.50 28.6% +61.4 pp
Total score under 152.5 71.0% 1.91 52.4% +18.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Venezuela

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Slovenia Away 85-100 L
20 Aug 2023 Jordan Away 87-89 L
17 Aug 2023 Brazil Away 71-83 L
16 Aug 2023 South Sudan Away 61-80 L
14 Aug 2023 Australia Away 41-97 L

Cape Verde

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Aug 2023 Georgia Home 60-85 L
4 Aug 2023 China Home 66-86 L
26 Feb 2023 Ivory Coast Home 79-64 W
25 Feb 2023 Angola Away 67-80 L
24 Feb 2023 Guinea Home 78-70 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Venezuela 10 69.7 86.0
Cape Verde 5 70.0 77.0