Australia 109-89 Japan

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Australia to win with -19.5 handicap, with a 89% estimated probability. We also predict under 170.5 points at 71%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Australia to win with -19.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    89%
    Stake High 78.7/100
    Odds 2.07 18Bet Recorded P/L +100.25
    Best odds 2.25 Cricbaba
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 170.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 39.5/100
    Odds 1.92 Suprabets Recorded P/L -39.82
    Best odds 1.93 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Australia to win with -19.5 handicap 89.0% 2.25 44.4% +44.6 pp
Total score under 170.5 71.0% 1.93 51.8% +19.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Australia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Germany Home 82-85 L
25 Aug 2023 Finland Away 98-72 W
22 Aug 2023 Georgia Home 86-81 W
20 Aug 2023 France Home 78-74 W
17 Aug 2023 South Sudan Home 88-67 W

Japan

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Finland Home 98-88 W
25 Aug 2023 Germany Away 63-81 L
19 Aug 2023 Slovenia Home 68-103 L
17 Aug 2023 France Home 70-88 L
15 Aug 2023 Angola Home 75-65 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Australia 10 89.3 66.4
Japan 10 77.7 81.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Australia and Japan in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
21 Jul 2022 Asia Cup Australia vs Japan 99-85
1 Jul 2022 World Championship Asia & Oceania Qualification Japan vs Australia 52-98
27 Feb 2022 World Championship Asia & Oceania Qualification Australia vs Japan 80-64