Egypt 100-72 Mexico

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is under 157.5 points, with a 77% estimated probability. We also predict Mexico to win with -9.5 handicap at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 157.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake High 53.5/100
    Odds 1.98 Suprabets Recorded P/L -53.53
    Best odds 1.98 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Mexico to win with -9.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 45.5/100
    Odds 2.42 Suprabets Recorded P/L -45.46
    Best odds 2.42 Suprabets
  3. Pick 3 Mexico to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    83%
    Stake Med 43.5/100
    Odds 1.43 Suprabets Recorded P/L -43.47
    Best odds 1.43 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 157.5 77.0% 1.98 50.5% +26.5 pp
Mexico to win with -9.5 handicap 68.0% 2.42 41.3% +26.7 pp
Mexico to win 83.0% 1.43 69.9% +13.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Egypt

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Montenegro Away 74-89 L
25 Aug 2023 Lithuania Home 67-93 L
17 Aug 2023 Lebanon Home 64-70 L
26 Feb 2023 South Sudan Away 77-97 L
25 Feb 2023 Cameroon Home 63-71 L

Mexico

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Lithuania Away 66-96 L
25 Aug 2023 Montenegro Home 71-91 L
18 Aug 2023 Lebanon Away 88-70 W
1 Aug 2023 Argentina Home 84-75 W
29 Jul 2023 Argentina Home 81-75 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Egypt 10 72.1 71.3
Mexico 10 79.3 78.1