Germany 101-75 Finland

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Germany to win with -10.5 handicap, with a 87% estimated probability. We also predict under 174.5 points at 71%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Germany to win with -10.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    87%
    Stake High 73.2/100
    Odds 1.94 Fezbet Recorded P/L +68.78
    Best odds 1.94 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 174.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 39.1/100
    Odds 1.91 William Hill Recorded P/L -39.48
    Best odds 1.92 Betclic
  3. Pick 3 Germany to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    90%
    Stake Med 31.2/100
    Odds 1.17 Fezbet Recorded P/L +5.30
    Best odds 1.17 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Germany to win with -10.5 handicap 87.0% 1.94 51.5% +35.5 pp
Total score under 174.5 71.0% 1.92 52.1% +18.9 pp
Germany to win 90.0% 1.17 85.5% +4.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Germany

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Australia Away 85-82 W
25 Aug 2023 Japan Home 81-63 W
20 Aug 2023 USA Away 91-99 L
19 Aug 2023 Greece Away 84-71 W
12 Aug 2023 China Home 107-58 W

Finland

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Japan Away 88-98 L
25 Aug 2023 Australia Home 72-98 L
16 Aug 2023 Latvia Away 57-94 L
14 Aug 2023 Lithuania Away 80-84 L
9 Aug 2023 Estonia Home 86-80 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Germany 10 85.6 75.0
Finland 10 81.3 88.0

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Germany and Finland in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Feb 2023 World Championship Europe Qualification Finland vs Germany 81-87
11 Nov 2022 World Championship Europe Qualification Germany vs Finland 94-80