Montenegro 71-91 Lithuania

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Lithuania to win with -6.5 handicap, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict Lithuania to win at 79%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Lithuania to win with -6.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 40.2/100
    Odds 2.15 Suprabets Recorded P/L +50.96
    Best odds 2.22 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Lithuania to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake Med 40.1/100
    Odds 1.54 Marathonbet Recorded P/L +21.66
    Best odds 1.54 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Lithuania to win with -6.5 handicap 68.0% 2.22 45.0% +23.0 pp
Lithuania to win 79.0% 1.54 64.9% +14.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Montenegro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Egypt Home 89-74 W
25 Aug 2023 Mexico Away 91-71 W
20 Aug 2023 Philippines Away 102-87 W
12 Aug 2023 Iran Away 81-66 W
8 Aug 2023 Slovenia Away 100-104 L

Lithuania

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Mexico Home 96-66 W
25 Aug 2023 Egypt Away 93-67 W
22 Aug 2023 Latvia Away 93-69 W
19 Aug 2023 Puerto Rico Home 93-80 W
14 Aug 2023 Finland Home 84-80 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Montenegro 10 80.7 74.7
Lithuania 10 88.4 78.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Montenegro and Lithuania in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
14 Nov 2022 World Championship Europe Qualification Montenegro vs Lithuania 56-65
27 Aug 2022 World Championship Europe Qualification Lithuania vs Montenegro 90-73