Philippines 83-90 Italy

Finished

For this World Championship match, BetFTW's top pick is Italy to win with -14.5 handicap, with a 86% estimated probability. We also predict Italy to win at 90%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Italy to win with -14.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    86%
    Stake High 75.5/100
    Odds 2.33 Suprabets Recorded P/L -75.47
    Best odds 2.33 Suprabets
  2. Pick 2 Italy to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    90%
    Stake Low 23.3/100
    Odds 1.15 Suprabets Recorded P/L +3.50
    Best odds 1.15 Suprabets
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 166.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 9.1/100
    Odds 2.12 Suprabets Recorded P/L -9.14
    Best odds 2.12 Suprabets
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Italy to win with -14.5 handicap 86.0% 2.33 42.9% +43.1 pp
Italy to win 90.0% 1.15 87.0% +3.0 pp
Total score under 166.5 52.0% 2.12 47.2% +4.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Philippines

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Angola Home 70-80 L
25 Aug 2023 Dominican Republic Away 81-87 L
20 Aug 2023 Montenegro Home 87-102 L
13 May 2023 Singapore Away 105-45 W
11 May 2023 Cambodia Home 68-79 L

Italy

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
27 Aug 2023 Dominican Republic Home 82-87 L
25 Aug 2023 Angola Away 81-67 W
21 Aug 2023 New Zealand Away 88-81 W
20 Aug 2023 Brazil Away 93-87 W
13 Aug 2023 Puerto Rico Home 98-65 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Philippines 10 85.2 75.8
Italy 10 85.2 77.7