San Miguel Beermen 102-108 Barangay Ginebra

Finished

For this Governors Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is under 202.5 points, with a 79% estimated probability. We also predict San Miguel Beermen to win with -4.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 202.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake High 54.9/100
    Odds 1.87 DraftKings Recorded P/L -55.67
    Best odds 1.90 Mostbet
  2. Pick 2 San Miguel Beermen to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 9.8/100
    Odds 1.91 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -18.61
    Best odds 2.12 Vave
  3. Pick 3 San Miguel Beermen to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Low 6.5/100
    Odds 1.57 Galera.Bet Recorded P/L -18.40
    Best odds 1.71 DraftKings
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 202.5 79.0% 1.90 52.6% +26.4 pp
San Miguel Beermen to win with -4.5 handicap 57.0% 2.12 47.2% +9.8 pp
San Miguel Beermen to win 66.0% 1.71 58.5% +7.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

San Miguel Beermen

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Aug 2024 Blackwater Elite Away 128-108 W
21 Aug 2024 Phoenix Petroleum - FEU Away 111-107 W
16 Jun 2024 Meralco Bolts Away 78-80 L
14 Jun 2024 Meralco Bolts Home 88-92 L
12 Jun 2024 Meralco Bolts Away 111-101 W

Barangay Ginebra

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
24 Aug 2024 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Away 64-73 L
31 May 2024 Meralco Bolts Away 69-78 L
29 May 2024 Meralco Bolts Home 81-86 L
26 May 2024 Meralco Bolts Away 89-84 W
24 May 2024 Meralco Bolts Home 90-71 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
San Miguel Beermen 10 101.0 97.5
Barangay Ginebra 10 82.7 82.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between San Miguel Beermen and Barangay Ginebra in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Apr 2024 PBA Philippine Cup Barangay Ginebra vs San Miguel Beermen 92-95
28 Jan 2024 Commissioners Cup Barangay Ginebra vs San Miguel Beermen 91-94
26 Jan 2024 Commissioners Cup San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra 106-96
24 Jan 2024 Commissioners Cup Barangay Ginebra vs San Miguel Beermen 90-92
15 Dec 2023 Commissioners Cup San Miguel Beermen vs Barangay Ginebra 95-82