Chattanooga Mocs 85-78 Tennessee State Tigers

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Chattanooga Mocs to win with -11.5 handicap, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict under 152.0 points at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Chattanooga Mocs to win with -11.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 36.4/100
    Odds 2.15 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -36.43
    Best odds 2.15 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 152.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 31.5/100
    Odds 1.93 Stake.com Recorded P/L -31.52
    Best odds 1.93 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Chattanooga Mocs to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    82%
    Stake Low 10.0/100
    Odds 1.25 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +2.50
    Best odds 1.25 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Chattanooga Mocs to win with -11.5 handicap 66.0% 2.15 46.5% +19.5 pp
Total score under 152.0 67.0% 1.93 51.8% +15.2 pp
Chattanooga Mocs to win 82.0% 1.25 80.0% +2.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Chattanooga Mocs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Nov 2024 Southeast Missouri State Away 87-82 W
15 Nov 2024 Morehead State Home 76-62 W
12 Nov 2024 Austin Peay Away 61-67 L
8 Nov 2024 Saint Mary's Gaels Away 74-86 L
5 Nov 2024 USC Away 51-77 L

Tennessee State Tigers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Nov 2024 Alabama A&M Bulldogs Home 81-71 W
14 Nov 2024 Howard Bison Home 84-88 L
10 Nov 2024 Wyoming Cowboys Away 66-81 L
9 Nov 2024 Colorado State Away 79-87 L
8 Mar 2024 Western Illinois Leathernecks Away 59-61 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Chattanooga Mocs 10 74.2 74.7
Tennessee State Tigers 10 69.7 74.9