Creighton 53-71 San Diego State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is San Diego State to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 76% estimated probability. We also predict San Diego State to win at 68%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 San Diego State to win with +4.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake High 50.2/100
    Odds 1.93 Stake.com Recorded P/L +46.68
    Best odds 1.93 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 San Diego State to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 49.8/100
    Odds 2.76 FanDuel Recorded P/L +87.68
    Best odds 2.76 FanDuel
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 138.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 33.6/100
    Odds 2.05 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +35.30
    Best odds 2.05 Pinnacle
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
San Diego State to win with +4.5 handicap 76.0% 1.93 51.8% +24.2 pp
San Diego State to win 68.0% 2.76 36.2% +31.8 pp
Total score under 138.0 66.0% 2.05 48.8% +17.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Creighton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Nov 2024 Nebraska Cornhuskers Home 63-74 L
17 Nov 2024 UMKC Home 79-56 W
14 Nov 2024 Houston Christian Huskies Home 78-43 W
10 Nov 2024 Fairleigh Dickinson Home 96-70 W
30 Mar 2024 Tennessee Volunteers Away 75-82 L

San Diego State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Nov 2024 Gonzaga Home 67-80 L
7 Nov 2024 UC San Diego Home 63-58 W
28 Mar 2024 Connecticut Huskies Away 52-82 L
25 Mar 2024 Yale Home 85-57 W
22 Mar 2024 UAB Blazers Home 69-65 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Creighton 10 80.7 65.4
San Diego State 10 71.0 68.7

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Creighton and San Diego State in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 Mar 2022 NCAA San Diego State vs Creighton 69-72