Georgia State 50-62 Austin Peay

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is over 144.0 points, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Georgia State to win with -3.5 handicap at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 144.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 45.4/100
    Odds 1.91 Bodog Recorded P/L -48.00
    Best odds 2.00 22Bet
  2. Pick 2 Georgia State to win with -3.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Med 29.8/100
    Odds 2.25 Betano Recorded P/L -29.80
    Best odds 2.25 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Georgia State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 28.0/100
    Odds 1.80 1xBet Recorded P/L -28.49
    Best odds 1.81 FanDuel
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 144.0 74.0% 2.00 50.0% +24.0 pp
Georgia State to win with -3.5 handicap 61.0% 2.25 44.4% +16.6 pp
Georgia State to win 68.0% 1.81 55.2% +12.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Georgia State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Nov 2024 North Carolina Central Home 93-79 W
14 Nov 2024 Jacksonville St. Gamecocks Away 67-72 L
9 Nov 2024 Mississippi State Away 66-101 L
5 Nov 2024 Ball State Home 71-66 W
8 Mar 2024 Marshall Home 74-86 L

Austin Peay

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Nov 2024 Morehead State Away 58-63 L
17 Nov 2024 Tennessee Volunteers Away 68-103 L
12 Nov 2024 Chattanooga Mocs Home 67-61 W
8 Nov 2024 Butler Bulldogs Away 68-66 W
10 Mar 2024 Stetson Hatters Away 91-94 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Georgia State 10 73.4 78.6
Austin Peay 10 77.7 78.1