North Carolina Greensboro 71-48 Long Beach State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is over 133.0 points, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict Long Beach State to win at 50%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 133.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 36.0/100
    Odds 2.00 22Bet Recorded P/L -38.37
    Best odds 2.08 LeoVegas Sport
  2. Pick 2 Long Beach State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    50%
    Stake Med 33.9/100
    Odds 4.10 Stake.com Recorded P/L -33.87
    Best odds 4.10 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Long Beach State to win with +8.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 32.1/100
    Odds 1.84 Stake.com Recorded P/L -32.10
    Best odds 1.84 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 133.0 68.0% 2.08 48.1% +19.9 pp
Long Beach State to win 50.0% 4.10 24.4% +25.6 pp
Long Beach State to win with +8.5 handicap 69.0% 1.84 54.3% +14.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

North Carolina Greensboro

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Nov 2024 Indiana Hoosiers Away 58-69 L
12 Nov 2024 SMU Mustangs Away 68-81 L
5 Nov 2024 Florida Gulf Coast Home 73-64 W
29 Feb 2024 VMI Keydets Home 100-58 W
18 Feb 2024 Wofford Away 58-47 W

Long Beach State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Nov 2024 Gonzaga Away 41-84 L
14 Nov 2024 San Francisco Away 54-84 L
9 Nov 2024 South Dakota State Away 79-80 L
21 Mar 2024 Arizona Wildcats Away 65-85 L
17 Mar 2024 UC Davis Away 74-70 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
North Carolina Greensboro 10 74.0 69.7
Long Beach State 10 68.8 78.3