North Carolina Tar Heels 92-90 Dayton

Finished

BetFTW predicts Dayton to win against North Carolina Tar Heels, with a 32% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Dayton to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    32%
    Stake Low 13.1/100
    Odds 4.60 NEO.bet Recorded P/L -13.11
    Best odds 4.60 NEO.bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Dayton to win 32.0% 4.60 21.7% +10.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Nov 2024 Hawaii Away 87-69 W
16 Nov 2024 American University Home 107-55 W
9 Nov 2024 Kansas Jayhawks Away 89-92 L
5 Nov 2024 Elon Phoenix Home 90-76 W
29 Mar 2024 Alabama Crimson Tide Home 87-89 L

Dayton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Nov 2024 New Mexico State Aggies Home 74-53 W
14 Nov 2024 Ball State Home 77-69 W
10 Nov 2024 Northwestern Wildcats Home 71-66 W
23 Mar 2024 Arizona Wildcats Away 68-78 L
21 Mar 2024 Nevada Home 63-60 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
North Carolina Tar Heels 10 88.7 71.4
Dayton 10 76.3 70.9