North Texas 58-55 Oregon State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is North Texas to win with -6.5 handicap, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict North Texas to win at 74%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 North Texas to win with -6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 34.0/100
    Odds 2.20 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -34.00
    Best odds 2.20 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 North Texas to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 18.8/100
    Odds 1.47 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +8.84
    Best odds 1.47 Pinnacle
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 128.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 5.6/100
    Odds 1.95 Stake.com Recorded P/L +5.30
    Best odds 1.95 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
North Texas to win with -6.5 handicap 64.0% 2.20 45.5% +18.5 pp
North Texas to win 74.0% 1.47 68.0% +6.0 pp
Total score under 128.0 54.0% 1.95 51.3% +2.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

North Texas

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Nov 2024 McNeese State Away 61-68 L
14 Nov 2024 Minnesota Golden Gophers Away 54-51 W
6 Nov 2024 Evansville Home 80-63 W
23 Mar 2024 Seton Hall Pirates Away 58-72 L
19 Mar 2024 LSU Tigers Away 84-77 W

Oregon State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Nov 2024 Oregon Ducks Home 75-78 L
16 Nov 2024 Cal State Fullerton Titans Home 70-51 W
9 Nov 2024 Weber State Home 76-48 W
13 Mar 2024 UCLA Bruins Away 57-67 L
8 Mar 2024 Utah Utes Home 92-85 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
North Texas 10 72.4 67.7
Oregon State 10 66.9 69.5