South Alabama Jaguars 84-63 Incarnate Word

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is South Alabama Jaguars to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 79% estimated probability. We also predict South Alabama Jaguars to win at 86%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 South Alabama Jaguars to win with -8.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake High 61.4/100
    Odds 2.19 Stake.com Recorded P/L +73.01
    Best odds 2.19 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 South Alabama Jaguars to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    86%
    Stake Med 48.2/100
    Odds 1.37 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +17.82
    Best odds 1.37 LeoVegas Sport
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 142.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 2.03 Stake.com Recorded P/L +11.65
    Best odds 2.03 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
South Alabama Jaguars to win with -8.5 handicap 79.0% 2.19 45.7% +33.3 pp
South Alabama Jaguars to win 86.0% 1.37 73.0% +13.0 pp
Total score over 142.0 55.0% 2.03 49.3% +5.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

South Alabama Jaguars

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
16 Nov 2024 Mercer Home 75-66 W
13 Nov 2024 Ole Miss Away 54-64 L
9 Nov 2024 Nicholls State Away 70-64 W
5 Nov 2024 Central Michigan Home 70-74 L
7 Mar 2024 Georgia Southern Home 71-76 L

Incarnate Word

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Nov 2024 Northern Arizona Away 74-75 L
5 Nov 2024 California Baptist Away 78-83 L
27 Feb 2024 Nicholls State Away 82-92 L
3 Feb 2024 New Orleans Privateers Away 82-80 W
23 Jan 2024 Nicholls State Home 74-78 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
South Alabama Jaguars 10 72.1 67.8
Incarnate Word 10 70.8 81.5