Southern Mississippi 74-82 Abilene Christian

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 150.0 points, with a 67% estimated probability. We also predict Southern Mississippi to win at 55%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 150.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 25.8/100
    Odds 1.80 Fezbet Recorded P/L -25.75
    Best odds 1.80 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Southern Mississippi to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    55%
    Stake Low 24.6/100
    Odds 2.48 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -24.59
    Best odds 2.48 LeoVegas Sport
  3. Pick 3 Southern Mississippi to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 15.6/100
    Odds 3.20 22Bet Recorded P/L -15.64
    Best odds 3.20 22Bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 150.0 67.0% 1.80 55.6% +11.4 pp
Southern Mississippi to win 55.0% 2.48 40.3% +14.7 pp
Southern Mississippi to win with -4.5 handicap 42.0% 3.20 31.3% +10.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Southern Mississippi

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Nov 2024 Montana State Away 59-79 L
21 Nov 2024 South Dakota State Away 76-101 L
8 Nov 2024 UAB Blazers Away 84-98 L
5 Nov 2024 Bowling Green Home 77-68 W
7 Mar 2024 Texas State Bobcats Home 59-75 L

Abilene Christian

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Nov 2024 Kennesaw State Away 78-84 L
16 Nov 2024 Texas State Bobcats Home 72-60 W
14 Mar 2024 Stephen F Austin Away 57-60 L
8 Mar 2024 Seattle Redhawks Home 64-59 W
1 Mar 2024 Southern Utah Away 77-68 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Southern Mississippi 10 68.7 79.6
Abilene Christian 10 67.3 68.4