Grand Canyon 88-64 Tarleton State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 138.0 points, with a 61% estimated probability. We also predict Tarleton State to win at 18%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 138.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 13.8/100
    Odds 1.83 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -13.78
    Best odds 1.83 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Tarleton State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    18%
    Stake Low 10.7/100
    Odds 12.20 FanDuel Recorded P/L -10.68
    Best odds 12.20 FanDuel
  3. Pick 3 Grand Canyon to win with -16.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    52%
    Stake Low 9.1/100
    Odds 2.12 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L +10.24
    Best odds 2.12 LeoVegas Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 138.0 61.0% 1.83 54.6% +6.4 pp
Tarleton State to win 18.0% 12.20 8.2% +9.8 pp
Grand Canyon to win with -16.5 handicap 52.0% 2.12 47.2% +4.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Grand Canyon

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 Abilene Christian Home 88-58 W
10 Jan 2025 Utah Valley Away 64-72 L
5 Jan 2025 Southern Utah Home 82-71 W
28 Dec 2024 San Diego Toreros Home 68-55 W
22 Dec 2024 Saint Louis Home 73-72 W

Tarleton State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 California Baptist Home 67-57 W
10 Jan 2025 Southern Utah Away 74-66 W
5 Jan 2025 UT Arlington Mavericks Home 77-74 W
29 Dec 2024 Florida A&M Home 70-60 W
19 Dec 2024 Oklahoma State Away 61-66 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Grand Canyon 10 73.9 66.9
Tarleton State 10 63.5 70.6