Liberty Flames 68-60 New Mexico State Aggies

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 135.0 points, with a 66% estimated probability. We also predict Liberty Flames to win with -7.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 135.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 25.9/100
    Odds 1.85 Pinnacle Recorded P/L +21.98
    Best odds 1.85 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Liberty Flames to win with -7.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 16.8/100
    Odds 2.07 Betano Recorded P/L +17.99
    Best odds 2.07 Betano
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 135.0 66.0% 1.85 54.1% +11.9 pp
Liberty Flames to win with -7.5 handicap 57.0% 2.07 48.3% +8.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Liberty Flames

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 UTEP Home 70-72 L
12 Jan 2025 Louisiana Tech Away 74-79 L
10 Jan 2025 Sam Houston State Away 76-68 W
3 Jan 2025 Western Kentucky Home 70-71 L
21 Dec 2024 UT Arlington Mavericks Home 79-56 W

New Mexico State Aggies

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 Florida Intl Away 59-52 W
12 Jan 2025 UTEP Away 85-57 W
4 Jan 2025 Louisiana Tech Home 78-48 W
3 Jan 2025 Sam Houston State Home 75-71 W
17 Dec 2024 Southern Utah Home 72-69 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Liberty Flames 10 73.8 64.2
New Mexico State Aggies 10 73.0 70.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Liberty Flames and New Mexico State Aggies in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Mar 2024 NCAA Liberty Flames vs New Mexico State Aggies 83-58
2 Feb 2024 NCAA New Mexico State Aggies vs Liberty Flames 79-73