Michigan State 80-78 Illinois Fighting Illini

Finished

BetFTW predicts Michigan State to win against Illinois Fighting Illini, with a 74% estimated probability.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Michigan State to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 42.3/100
    Odds 1.82 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +34.68
    Best odds 1.82 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Michigan State to win 74.0% 1.82 54.9% +19.1 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Michigan State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Jan 2025 Northwestern Wildcats Away 78-68 W
10 Jan 2025 Washington Huskies Home 88-54 W
4 Jan 2025 Ohio State Away 69-62 W
30 Dec 2024 Western Michigan Home 80-62 W
21 Dec 2024 Florida Atlantic Owls Home 86-69 W

Illinois Fighting Illini

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Jan 2025 Indiana Hoosiers Away 94-69 W
9 Jan 2025 Penn State Home 91-52 W
5 Jan 2025 Washington Huskies Away 81-77 W
3 Jan 2025 Oregon Ducks Away 109-77 W
29 Dec 2024 Chicago State Home 117-64 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Michigan State 10 81.2 64.6
Illinois Fighting Illini 10 87.8 70.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Michigan State and Illinois Fighting Illini in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Jan 2024 NCAA Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State 71-68
14 Jan 2023 NCAA Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State 75-66
19 Feb 2022 NCAA Michigan State vs Illinois Fighting Illini 74-79
26 Jan 2022 NCAA Illinois Fighting Illini vs Michigan State 56-55
24 Feb 2021 NCAA Michigan State vs Illinois Fighting Illini 81-72