Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 71-57 Western Kentucky

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 158.0 points, with a 71% estimated probability. We also predict Western Kentucky to win at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 158.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 39.1/100
    Odds 1.91 Bodog Recorded P/L +35.58
    Best odds 1.91 Bodog
  2. Pick 2 Western Kentucky to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 7.8/100
    Odds 3.05 FanDuel Recorded P/L -7.76
    Best odds 3.05 FanDuel
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 158.0 71.0% 1.91 52.4% +18.6 pp
Western Kentucky to win 38.0% 3.05 32.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Jan 2025 Jacksonville St. Gamecocks Home 81-64 W
10 Jan 2025 Kennesaw State Home 84-79 W
3 Jan 2025 Florida Intl Away 73-69 W
24 Dec 2024 Tennessee Volunteers Away 64-82 L
20 Dec 2024 Lipscomb Bisons Home 67-65 W

Western Kentucky

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Jan 2025 Kennesaw State Home 85-69 W
10 Jan 2025 Jacksonville St. Gamecocks Home 67-73 L
4 Jan 2025 Florida Intl Away 66-85 L
3 Jan 2025 Liberty Flames Away 71-70 W
30 Dec 2024 Michigan Wolverines Away 64-112 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 10 74.2 75.4
Western Kentucky 10 76.6 75.4

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and Western Kentucky in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Feb 2024 NCAA Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 88-65
10 Feb 2023 NCAA Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 93-89
31 Dec 2022 NCAA Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky 65-60
27 Feb 2022 NCAA Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Western Kentucky 69-52
29 Jan 2022 NCAA Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 85-93