Northern Colorado 68-64 Sacramento State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Northern Colorado to win with -17.5 handicap, with a 57% estimated probability. We also predict over 142.0 points at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Northern Colorado to win with -17.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 2.23 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -22.04
    Best odds 2.23 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 142.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 15.1/100
    Odds 1.98 Stake.com Recorded P/L -15.14
    Best odds 1.98 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Sacramento State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    16%
    Stake Low 9.0/100
    Odds 13.00 FanDuel Recorded P/L -9.00
    Best odds 13.00 FanDuel
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Northern Colorado to win with -17.5 handicap 57.0% 2.23 44.8% +12.2 pp
Total score over 142.0 58.0% 1.98 50.5% +7.5 pp
Sacramento State to win 16.0% 13.00 7.7% +8.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Northern Colorado

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 Portland State Home 72-69 W
11 Jan 2025 Montana Grizzlies Away 81-57 W
10 Jan 2025 Montana State Away 83-82 W
4 Jan 2025 Idaho State Home 93-92 W
3 Jan 2025 Weber State Home 89-72 W

Sacramento State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 Northern Arizona Away 53-77 L
11 Jan 2025 Eastern Washington Home 54-65 L
10 Jan 2025 Idaho Vandals Home 67-80 L
4 Jan 2025 Portland State Home 56-53 W
18 Dec 2024 Oregon State Away 45-82 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Northern Colorado 10 82.6 78.5
Sacramento State 10 59.6 72.0

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Northern Colorado and Sacramento State in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
17 Feb 2024 NCAA Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado 75-80
19 Jan 2024 NCAA Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State 77-75
12 Feb 2023 NCAA Northern Colorado vs Sacramento State 70-54
13 Jan 2023 NCAA Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado 72-64
11 Feb 2022 NCAA Sacramento State vs Northern Colorado 61-79