Pepperdine 50-74 Saint Mary's Gaels

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Pepperdine to win, with a 27% estimated probability. We also predict Pepperdine to win with +14.5 handicap at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Pepperdine to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 17.4/100
    Odds 8.63 Betobet Recorded P/L -17.43
    Best odds 8.63 Betobet
  2. Pick 2 Pepperdine to win with +14.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 13.4/100
    Odds 1.82 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -13.44
    Best odds 1.82 LeoVegas Sport
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 141.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 9.6/100
    Odds 1.83 Stake.com Recorded P/L +7.97
    Best odds 1.83 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Pepperdine to win 27.0% 8.63 11.6% +15.4 pp
Pepperdine to win with +14.5 handicap 61.0% 1.82 54.9% +6.1 pp
Total score under 141.0 59.0% 1.83 54.6% +4.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Pepperdine

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 San Francisco Home 63-80 L
5 Jan 2025 Pacific Tigers Away 87-70 W
31 Dec 2024 Gonzaga Home 82-89 L
29 Dec 2024 Santa Clara Away 80-91 L
21 Dec 2024 UC Davis Home 85-46 W

Saint Mary's Gaels

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Jan 2025 San Diego Toreros Away 103-56 W
5 Jan 2025 Portland Pilots Away 81-58 W
29 Dec 2024 Pacific Tigers Home 70-60 W
23 Dec 2024 Utah State Home 68-75 L
15 Dec 2024 Boise State Away 65-67 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Pepperdine 10 78.9 73.0
Saint Mary's Gaels 10 77.3 62.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Pepperdine and Saint Mary's Gaels in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
1 Mar 2024 NCAA Pepperdine vs Saint Mary's Gaels 57-83
16 Feb 2024 NCAA Saint Mary's Gaels vs Pepperdine 103-59
20 Jan 2023 NCAA Pepperdine vs Saint Mary's Gaels 44-73
30 Jan 2022 NCAA Saint Mary's Gaels vs Pepperdine 81-57
14 Jan 2022 NCAA Pepperdine vs Saint Mary's Gaels 62-77