UC Riverside 85-81 UC San Diego

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is UC San Diego to win with -10.5 handicap, with a 68% estimated probability. We also predict over 142.0 points at 58%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 UC San Diego to win with -10.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    68%
    Stake Med 39.2/100
    Odds 2.11 Pinnacle Recorded P/L -39.17
    Best odds 2.11 Pinnacle
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 142.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    58%
    Stake Low 17.6/100
    Odds 2.04 Stake.com Recorded P/L +18.32
    Best odds 2.04 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 UC San Diego to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    84%
    Stake Low 17.3/100
    Odds 1.24 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -17.33
    Best odds 1.24 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
UC San Diego to win with -10.5 handicap 68.0% 2.11 47.4% +20.6 pp
Total score over 142.0 58.0% 2.04 49.0% +9.0 pp
UC San Diego to win 84.0% 1.24 80.6% +3.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

UC Riverside

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
17 Jan 2025 UC Santa Barbara Away 63-66 L
10 Jan 2025 Hawaii Home 76-83 L
5 Jan 2025 UC Irvine Away 57-81 L
21 Dec 2024 UNLV Rebels Away 53-66 L
19 Dec 2024 Montana State Home 83-80 W

UC San Diego

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
12 Jan 2025 UC Irvine Home 52-60 L
10 Jan 2025 Cal Poly Home 95-68 W
5 Jan 2025 Cal State Fullerton Titans Away 90-51 W
22 Dec 2024 San Diego Toreros Away 77-71 W
18 Dec 2024 Utah State Away 75-73 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
UC Riverside 10 67.5 73.1
UC San Diego 10 76.9 65.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between UC Riverside and UC San Diego in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
26 Jan 2024 NCAA UC San Diego vs UC Riverside 66-65