Meralco Bolts 101-104 Nlex Road Warriors

Finished

For this Commissioners Cup match, BetFTW's top pick is under 207.0 points, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Meralco Bolts to win with -7.5 handicap at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 207.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 45.4/100
    Odds 1.91 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L +42.08
    Best odds 1.92 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Meralco Bolts to win with -7.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Med 32.0/100
    Odds 2.72 Betano Recorded P/L -32.00
    Best odds 2.72 Betano
  3. Pick 3 Meralco Bolts to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 26.4/100
    Odds 1.65 Mostbet Recorded P/L -36.06
    Best odds 1.83 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 207.0 74.0% 1.92 52.1% +21.9 pp
Meralco Bolts to win with -7.5 handicap 57.0% 2.72 36.8% +20.2 pp
Meralco Bolts to win 71.0% 1.83 54.6% +16.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Meralco Bolts

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Apr 2026 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 110-106 W
27 Mar 2026 Rain Or Shine Elasto Painters Home 102-109 L
21 Mar 2026 Phoenix Petroleum - FEU Away 93-86 W
18 Mar 2026 Converge Fiberxers Home 109-88 W
14 Jan 2026 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 96-99 L

Nlex Road Warriors

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
5 Apr 2026 Phoenix Petroleum - FEU Home 120-102 W
27 Mar 2026 Barangay Ginebra Away 118-113 W
22 Mar 2026 Talk N Text Tropang Texters Home 97-103 L
15 Mar 2026 Purefoods Star Home 112-105 W
13 Mar 2026 Blackwater Elite Away 84-81 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Meralco Bolts 10 97.5 97.7
Nlex Road Warriors 10 98.7 102.3

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Meralco Bolts and Nlex Road Warriors in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
26 Oct 2025 PBA Philippine Cup Nlex Road Warriors vs Meralco Bolts 89-85
25 May 2025 PBA Philippine Cup Nlex Road Warriors vs Meralco Bolts 92-108
10 Jan 2025 Commissioners Cup Nlex Road Warriors vs Meralco Bolts 91-105
12 May 2024 PBA Philippine Cup Meralco Bolts vs Nlex Road Warriors 100-81
10 May 2024 PBA Philippine Cup Nlex Road Warriors vs Meralco Bolts 93-97