South East Melbourne Phoenix 99-104 Melbourne United

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict South East Melbourne Phoenix to win at 60%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 31.7/100
    Odds 1.83 Stake.com Recorded P/L -31.65
    Best odds 1.83 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 South East Melbourne Phoenix to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    60%
    Stake Med 25.2/100
    Odds 2.15 LeoVegas Sport Recorded P/L -31.83
    Best odds 2.42 DraftKings
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 188.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 21.7/100
    Odds 1.85 10bet Recorded P/L +18.40
    Best odds 1.85 10bet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win with +4.5 handicap 69.0% 1.83 54.6% +14.4 pp
South East Melbourne Phoenix to win 60.0% 2.42 41.3% +18.7 pp
Total score over 188.0 64.0% 1.85 54.1% +9.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

South East Melbourne Phoenix

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Home 113-96 W
2 Oct 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 88-92 L
24 Sep 2026 Melbourne United Home 61-86 L
21 Sep 2026 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 91-96 L
19 Sep 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 100-79 W

Melbourne United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Oct 2026 Adelaide 36ers Away 96-91 W
3 Oct 2026 Cairns Taipans Home 95-107 L
1 Oct 2026 Tasmania JackJumpers Away 82-84 L
24 Sep 2026 South East Melbourne Phoenix Away 86-61 W
19 Sep 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 95-97 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
South East Melbourne Phoenix 10 94.9 94.2
Melbourne United 10 88.7 87.1

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between South East Melbourne Phoenix and Melbourne United in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
24 Sep 2026 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United 61-86
19 Feb 2026 NBL Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 95-91
7 Dec 2025 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United 111-86
8 Nov 2025 NBL South East Melbourne Phoenix vs Melbourne United 81-92
25 Sep 2025 NBL Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix 103-83