NK Krka 68-79 FMP Beograd

Finished

For this ABA League match, BetFTW's top pick is NK Krka to win with +2.5 handicap, with a 81% estimated probability. We also predict NK Krka to win at 78%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 NK Krka to win with +2.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    81%
    Stake High 56.3/100
    Odds 1.77 All British Casino Recorded P/L -56.32
    Best odds 1.77 All British Casino
  2. Pick 2 NK Krka to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    78%
    Stake High 56.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Powbet Recorded P/L -56.00
    Best odds 2.00 Powbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
NK Krka to win with +2.5 handicap 81.0% 1.77 56.5% +24.5 pp
NK Krka to win 78.0% 2.00 50.0% +28.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

NK Krka

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Oct 2026 KD Ilirija Away 83-82 W
2 Oct 2026 Buducnost Home 72-77 L
29 Sep 2026 Zlatorog Lasko Home 77-61 W
22 Sep 2026 Sentjur Home 87-55 W
17 Sep 2026 Union Olimpija Away 71-67 W

FMP Beograd

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Oct 2026 Crvena Zvezda Home 90-89 W
29 May 2026 Partizan Away 92-79 W
25 Apr 2026 KD Ilirija Home 82-88 L
20 Apr 2026 BC Vienna Home 84-92 L
14 Apr 2026 KK Zadar Away 65-76 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
NK Krka 10 81.0 78.9
FMP Beograd 10 85.0 80.2

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between NK Krka and FMP Beograd in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
15 Jan 2026 ABA League NK Krka vs FMP Beograd 81-71
8 Nov 2025 ABA League FMP Beograd vs NK Krka 82-61
16 Mar 2025 ABA League FMP Beograd vs NK Krka 98-89
11 Nov 2024 ABA League NK Krka vs FMP Beograd 106-109
29 Dec 2023 ABA League NK Krka vs FMP Beograd 87-89