Sydney Kings 78-84 Adelaide 36ers

Finished

For this NBL match, BetFTW's top pick is Sydney Kings to win with -8.5 handicap, with a 57% estimated probability. We also predict Sydney Kings to win with -9.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Sydney Kings to win with -8.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 10.3/100
    Odds 1.92 1xBet Recorded P/L -10.26
    Best odds 1.92 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Sydney Kings to win with -9.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 8.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Campobet Recorded P/L -8.00
    Best odds 2.00 Campobet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Sydney Kings to win with -8.5 handicap 57.0% 1.92 52.1% +4.9 pp
Sydney Kings to win with -9.5 handicap 54.0% 2.00 50.0% +4.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Sydney Kings

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
30 Sep 2026 Brisbane Bullets Home 93-78 W
27 Sep 2026 Illawarra Hawks Home 121-100 W
20 Sep 2026 Cairns Taipans Home 111-90 W
5 Apr 2026 Adelaide 36ers Home 113-101 W
1 Apr 2026 Adelaide 36ers Away 91-92 L

Adelaide 36ers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Oct 2026 Melbourne United Home 91-96 L
4 Oct 2026 NZ Breakers Home 72-88 L
2 Oct 2026 Illawarra Hawks Away 92-114 L
27 Sep 2026 Cairns Taipans Home 83-69 W
24 Sep 2026 Perth Wildcats Away 97-98 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Sydney Kings 10 103.0 89.2
Adelaide 36ers 10 90.9 95.9

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Sydney Kings and Adelaide 36ers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
5 Apr 2026 NBL Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers 113-101
1 Apr 2026 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings 92-91
29 Mar 2026 NBL Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers 106-93
27 Mar 2026 NBL Adelaide 36ers vs Sydney Kings 91-89
21 Mar 2026 NBL Sydney Kings vs Adelaide 36ers 112-68