Aris 88-68 Derthona

Finished

For this Eurocup match, BetFTW's top pick is under 172.0 points, with a 77% estimated probability. We also predict under 171.0 points at 76%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 172.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake High 51.2/100
    Odds 1.89 Goldenbet Recorded P/L +45.53
    Best odds 1.89 Goldenbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 171.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    76%
    Stake Med 49.3/100
    Odds 1.90 Fezbet Recorded P/L +44.40
    Best odds 1.90 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Derthona to win with +16.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    66%
    Stake Med 28.2/100
    Odds 1.90 FanDuel Recorded P/L -28.22
    Best odds 1.90 FanDuel
  4. Pick 4 Derthona to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    29%
    Stake Low 22.2/100
    Odds 11.50 Novibet Recorded P/L -22.69
    Best odds 12.25 Novibet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 172.0 77.0% 1.89 52.9% +24.1 pp
Total score under 171.0 76.0% 1.90 52.6% +23.4 pp
Derthona to win with +16.5 handicap 66.0% 1.90 52.6% +13.4 pp
Derthona to win 29.0% 12.25 8.2% +20.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Aris

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 Oct 2026 AEK Athens Home 88-58 W
7 Oct 2026 San Pablo Burgos Home 93-80 W
3 Oct 2026 Karditsa Away 68-74 L
29 Sep 2026 Le Mans Away 87-74 W
25 May 2026 AEK Athens Away 99-102 L

Derthona

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 Reggiana Away 86-93 L
7 Oct 2026 Le Mans Home 89-83 W
30 Sep 2026 Rigas Zelli Away 84-86 L
27 Sep 2026 Verona Home 101-93 W
26 May 2026 Venezia Away 83-89 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Aris 10 83.7 79.1
Derthona 10 84.8 84.6