Real Madrid 119-84 Bilbao

Finished

For this Liga ACB match, BetFTW's top pick is under 184.0 points, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 184.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 38.9/100
    Odds 2.03 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -38.90
    Best odds 2.03 Vbet Sport
  2. Pick 2 Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 28.7/100
    Odds 2.02 1xBet Recorded P/L +29.28
    Best odds 2.02 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 184.0 69.0% 2.03 49.3% +19.7 pp
Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap 64.0% 2.02 49.5% +14.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Lyon-Villeurbanne Home 111-92 W
13 Oct 2026 Milano Away 98-89 W
11 Oct 2026 Manresa Home 120-83 W
8 Oct 2026 Partizan Home 86-76 W
4 Oct 2026 Obradoiro CAB Away 114-107 W

Bilbao

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Oct 2026 San Pablo Burgos Home 96-87 W
6 Oct 2026 KK Igokea Away 92-79 W
4 Oct 2026 Leyma Coruna Away 101-104 L
26 Sep 2026 Manresa Home 107-92 W
15 Sep 2026 Baskonia Home 99-85 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Real Madrid 10 97.2 91.5
Bilbao 10 90.2 86.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Real Madrid and Bilbao in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
14 May 2026 Liga ACB Bilbao vs Real Madrid 88-82
30 Mar 2025 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs Bilbao 88-70
13 Oct 2024 Liga ACB Bilbao vs Real Madrid 83-79
21 Jan 2024 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs Bilbao 95-80
12 Nov 2023 Liga ACB Bilbao vs Real Madrid 84-87