Valencia 116-93 UCAM Murcia

Finished

For this Liga ACB match, BetFTW's top pick is under 183.0 points, with a 64% estimated probability. We also predict Valencia to win with -9.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 183.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Low 22.6/100
    Odds 1.87 10bet Recorded P/L -22.62
    Best odds 1.87 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Valencia to win with -9.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 5.7/100
    Odds 1.95 DraftKings Recorded P/L +5.42
    Best odds 1.95 DraftKings
  3. Pick 3 UCAM Murcia to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    26%
    Stake Low 5.3/100
    Odds 4.57 1Bet Recorded P/L -6.53
    Best odds 4.80 DraftKings
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 183.0 64.0% 1.87 53.5% +10.5 pp
Valencia to win with -9.5 handicap 54.0% 1.95 51.3% +2.7 pp
UCAM Murcia to win 26.0% 4.80 20.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Valencia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
15 Oct 2026 Maccabi Tel Aviv Home 88-91 L
13 Oct 2026 Olympiacos Home 97-102 L
11 Oct 2026 Barcelona Away 86-89 L
8 Oct 2026 Hapoel Tel Aviv Home 93-82 W
4 Oct 2026 Zaragoza Away 97-82 W

UCAM Murcia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Oct 2026 Brose Baskets Away 86-67 W
11 Oct 2026 Iberostar Tenerife Home 77-90 L
7 Oct 2026 Varese Home 85-58 W
4 Oct 2026 Barcelona Home 100-94 W
27 Sep 2026 Girona Away 77-84 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Valencia 10 95.9 91.2
UCAM Murcia 10 87.5 85.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Valencia and UCAM Murcia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 Mar 2026 Liga ACB Valencia vs UCAM Murcia 110-84
21 Dec 2025 Liga ACB UCAM Murcia vs Valencia 92-80
7 Sep 2025 Club Friendlies UCAM Murcia vs Valencia 92-85
5 Apr 2025 Liga ACB Valencia vs UCAM Murcia 71-86
15 Dec 2024 Liga ACB UCAM Murcia vs Valencia 88-96