Arkansas State Red Wolves 71-70 Toledo Rockets

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is over 163.0 points, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -4.5 handicap at 64%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score over 163.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 44.1/100
    Odds 1.87 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -44.11
    Best odds 1.87 Marathonbet
  2. Pick 2 Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 30.4/100
    Odds 2.07 Stake.com Recorded P/L -30.36
    Best odds 2.07 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 Arkansas State Red Wolves to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 25.7/100
    Odds 1.64 1xBet Recorded P/L +16.44
    Best odds 1.64 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score over 163.0 74.0% 1.87 53.5% +20.5 pp
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win with -4.5 handicap 64.0% 2.07 48.3% +15.7 pp
Arkansas State Red Wolves to win 71.0% 1.64 61.0% +10.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Mar 2026 Georgia Southern Home 77-80 L
28 Feb 2026 Louisiana-Lafayette Home 81-58 W
25 Feb 2026 Southern Mississippi Home 89-84 W
21 Feb 2026 Louisiana Monroe Warhawks Away 102-94 W
14 Feb 2026 South Alabama Jaguars Home 88-92 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Arkansas State Red Wolves 10 81.1 75.5