Gonzaga 78-72 Purdue Boilermakers

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Gonzaga to win with -6.5 handicap, with a 59% estimated probability. We also predict under 154.0 points at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Gonzaga to win with -6.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 21.7/100
    Odds 2.10 Fezbet Recorded P/L -21.73
    Best odds 2.10 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 154.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 18.1/100
    Odds 1.91 10bet Recorded P/L +16.47
    Best odds 1.91 10bet
  3. Pick 3 Gonzaga to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Low 5.7/100
    Odds 1.44 Betway Recorded P/L +2.50
    Best odds 1.44 Betway
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Gonzaga to win with -6.5 handicap 59.0% 2.10 47.6% +11.4 pp
Total score under 154.0 61.0% 1.91 52.4% +8.6 pp
Gonzaga to win 71.0% 1.44 69.4% +1.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Gonzaga

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
20 Mar 2026 Kennesaw State Home 73-64 W
10 Mar 2026 Oregon State Home 65-56 W
1 Mar 2026 Saint Mary's Gaels Away 59-70 L
22 Feb 2026 Pacific Tigers Home 71-62 W
19 Feb 2026 San Francisco Away 80-59 W

Purdue Boilermakers

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
26 Mar 2026 Texas Longhorns Home 79-77 W
20 Mar 2026 Queens University Home 104-71 W
13 Mar 2026 Nebraska Cornhuskers Away 74-58 W
1 Mar 2026 Ohio State Away 74-82 L
27 Feb 2026 Michigan State Home 74-76 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Gonzaga 10 75.0 65.9
Purdue Boilermakers 10 80.4 68.4

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Gonzaga and Purdue Boilermakers in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
29 Mar 2024 March Madness Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga 80-68