Loyola Chicago 77-52 Citadel Bulldogs

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 143.0 points, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict Loyola Chicago to win with -16.5 handicap at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 143.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake Med 43.7/100
    Odds 1.92 Fezbet Recorded P/L +40.16
    Best odds 1.92 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Loyola Chicago to win with -16.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 15.7/100
    Odds 2.20 Fezbet Recorded P/L +18.80
    Best odds 2.20 Fezbet
  3. Pick 3 Citadel Bulldogs to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    18%
    Stake Low 9.8/100
    Odds 11.00 Stake.com Recorded P/L -9.80
    Best odds 11.00 Stake.com
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 143.0 73.0% 1.92 52.1% +20.9 pp
Loyola Chicago to win with -16.5 handicap 54.0% 2.20 45.5% +8.5 pp
Citadel Bulldogs to win 18.0% 11.00 9.1% +8.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Loyola Chicago

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Mar 2026 Richmond Away 75-67 W
28 Feb 2026 Richmond Home 69-66 W
21 Feb 2026 Saint Josephs Away 61-75 L
19 Feb 2026 Fordham Away 59-62 L
6 Feb 2026 Davidson Wildcats Away 64-84 L

Citadel Bulldogs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Feb 2026 Wofford Away 93-90 W
21 Feb 2026 Chattanooga Mocs Home 72-93 L
14 Feb 2026 Mercer Home 54-70 L
7 Feb 2026 Chattanooga Mocs Away 78-71 W
31 Jan 2026 North Carolina Greensboro Home 71-66 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Loyola Chicago 10 64.3 73.3
Citadel Bulldogs 10 72.8 74.2