Oklahoma State 91-60 Incarnate Word

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Incarnate Word to win with +28.5 handicap, with a 80% estimated probability. We also predict under 160.0 points at 54%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Incarnate Word to win with +28.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    80%
    Stake High 57.8/100
    Odds 1.90 FanDuel Recorded P/L -57.78
    Best odds 1.90 FanDuel
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 160.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    54%
    Stake Low 15.7/100
    Odds 2.20 Fezbet Recorded P/L +18.80
    Best odds 2.20 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Incarnate Word to win with +28.5 handicap 80.0% 1.90 52.6% +27.4 pp
Total score under 160.0 54.0% 2.20 45.5% +8.5 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Oklahoma State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
18 Mar 2026 Davidson Wildcats Home 84-80 W
11 Mar 2026 Colorado Buffaloes Away 92-83 W
4 Mar 2026 UCF Knights Away 111-104 W
28 Feb 2026 Cincinnati Away 68-91 L
25 Feb 2026 West Virginia Home 91-84 W

Incarnate Word

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Mar 2026 Stephen F Austin Home 68-76 L
24 Feb 2026 Northwestern State Away 49-54 L
21 Feb 2026 Texas A&M Commerce Away 82-73 W
17 Feb 2026 New Orleans Privateers Home 64-78 L
10 Feb 2026 SE Louisiana Away 62-74 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Oklahoma State 10 82.2 87.7
Incarnate Word 10 68.0 69.7