Troy State 60-71 Massachusetts

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Troy State to win with -4.5 handicap, with a 73% estimated probability. We also predict Troy State to win at 79%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Troy State to win with -4.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    73%
    Stake High 51.4/100
    Odds 2.25 Betway Recorded P/L -51.40
    Best odds 2.25 Betway
  2. Pick 2 Troy State to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake Med 49.6/100
    Odds 1.71 Betway Recorded P/L -49.59
    Best odds 1.71 Betway
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 155.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    77%
    Stake Med 49.3/100
    Odds 1.83 Fezbet Recorded P/L +40.91
    Best odds 1.83 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Troy State to win with -4.5 handicap 73.0% 2.25 44.4% +28.6 pp
Troy State to win 79.0% 1.71 58.5% +20.5 pp
Total score under 155.0 77.0% 1.83 54.6% +22.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Troy State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
25 Feb 2026 Louisiana-Lafayette Home 78-59 W
21 Feb 2026 South Alabama Jaguars Away 54-65 L
15 Feb 2026 Southern Mississippi Away 65-69 L
31 Jan 2026 Appalachian State Home 44-66 L
22 Jan 2026 Old Dominion Monarchs Away 83-77 W

Massachusetts

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
13 Mar 2026 Toledo Away 67-77 L
4 Mar 2026 Ohio Bobcats Home 94-82 W
28 Feb 2026 Bowling Green Away 62-81 L
25 Feb 2026 Ball State Away 73-74 L
18 Feb 2026 Miami Ohio Home 77-86 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Troy State 10 81.3 78.3
Massachusetts 10 78.1 80.3