Saint Mary's Gaels 105-64 North Dakota St

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 148.0 points, with a 89% estimated probability. We also predict Saint Mary's Gaels to win with -14.5 handicap at 61%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 148.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    89%
    Stake High 77.4/100
    Odds 1.95 Fezbet Recorded P/L -77.42
    Best odds 1.95 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Saint Mary's Gaels to win with -14.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Med 27.1/100
    Odds 2.15 Stake.com Recorded P/L +31.15
    Best odds 2.15 Stake.com
  3. Pick 3 North Dakota St to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    17%
    Stake Low 6.6/100
    Odds 9.00 Fezbet Recorded P/L -6.63
    Best odds 9.00 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 148.0 89.0% 1.95 51.3% +37.7 pp
Saint Mary's Gaels to win with -14.5 handicap 61.0% 2.15 46.5% +14.5 pp
North Dakota St to win 17.0% 9.00 11.1% +5.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Illinois State Home 90-85 W
10 Mar 2026 Santa Clara Home 71-76 L
1 Mar 2026 Gonzaga Home 70-59 W
26 Feb 2026 Santa Clara Home 86-67 W
22 Feb 2026 Washington State Cougars Away 83-67 W

North Dakota St

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
19 Mar 2026 Michigan State Away 67-92 L
6 Mar 2026 Oral Roberts Home 76-65 W
27 Feb 2026 St. Thomas Tommies Away 62-84 L
21 Feb 2026 UMKC Home 95-59 W
19 Feb 2026 South Dakota State Away 74-66 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Saint Mary's Gaels 10 77.7 66.9
North Dakota St 10 77.0 73.6