Real Madrid 90-71 UCAM Murcia

Finished

For this Liga ACB match, BetFTW's top pick is Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap, with a 69% estimated probability. We also predict Real Madrid to win with -12.5 handicap at 67%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    69%
    Stake Med 41.8/100
    Odds 2.14 1Bet Recorded P/L +47.66
    Best odds 2.14 1Bet
  2. Pick 2 Real Madrid to win with -12.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 40.4/100
    Odds 2.24 DraftKings Recorded P/L +50.08
    Best odds 2.24 DraftKings
  3. Pick 3 Total score under 187.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    64%
    Stake Med 28.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Powbet Recorded P/L +28.00
    Best odds 2.00 Powbet
  4. Pick 4 Total score under 186.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    61%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 2.00 Fezbet Recorded P/L +22.00
    Best odds 2.00 Fezbet
  5. Pick 5 Real Madrid to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    84%
    Stake Low 12.3/100
    Odds 1.22 1xBet Recorded P/L +2.70
    Best odds 1.22 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Real Madrid to win with -11.5 handicap 69.0% 2.14 46.7% +22.3 pp
Real Madrid to win with -12.5 handicap 67.0% 2.24 44.6% +22.4 pp
Total score under 187.0 64.0% 2.00 50.0% +14.0 pp
Total score under 186.0 61.0% 2.00 50.0% +11.0 pp
Real Madrid to win 84.0% 1.22 82.0% +2.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Real Madrid

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Nov 2026 Panathinaikos Home 112-115 L
1 Nov 2026 San Pablo Burgos Home 90-79 W
29 Oct 2026 Fenerbahce Home 95-76 W
27 Oct 2026 Baskonia Away 104-86 W
25 Oct 2026 Forca Lleida Away 122-86 W

UCAM Murcia

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
31 Oct 2026 Forca Lleida Home 125-98 W
27 Oct 2026 Peristeri Home 72-80 L
24 Oct 2026 Leyma Coruna Home 88-81 W
18 Oct 2026 Valencia Away 93-116 L
14 Oct 2026 Brose Baskets Away 86-67 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Real Madrid 10 105.7 86.6
UCAM Murcia 10 87.9 86.8

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Real Madrid and UCAM Murcia in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
3 May 2026 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs UCAM Murcia 131-123
30 Dec 2025 Liga ACB UCAM Murcia vs Real Madrid 80-91
9 Mar 2025 Liga ACB Real Madrid vs UCAM Murcia 80-75
3 Nov 2024 Liga ACB UCAM Murcia vs Real Madrid 64-85
12 Jun 2024 Liga ACB UCAM Murcia vs Real Madrid 73-84