Bilbao 83-75 Alba Berlin

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is under 178.0 points, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict Bilbao to win with -7.5 handicap at 59%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 178.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Med 44.1/100
    Odds 1.87 10bet Recorded P/L +38.38
    Best odds 1.87 10bet
  2. Pick 2 Bilbao to win with -7.5 handicap W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    59%
    Stake Low 20.0/100
    Odds 2.05 DraftKings Recorded P/L +25.08
    Best odds 2.12 Goldenbet
  3. Pick 3 Bilbao to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake Low 1.8/100
    Odds 1.36 Bwin Recorded P/L +7.30
    Best odds 1.45 Bwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 178.0 74.0% 1.87 53.5% +20.5 pp
Bilbao to win with -7.5 handicap 59.0% 2.12 47.2% +11.8 pp
Bilbao to win 74.0% 1.45 69.0% +5.0 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Bilbao

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
7 Nov 2026 Girona Away 87-92 L
1 Nov 2026 Joventut Badalona Away 81-78 W
28 Oct 2026 Alba Berlin Away 100-103 L
25 Oct 2026 River Andorra Home 88-76 W
18 Oct 2026 Real Madrid Away 84-119 L

Alba Berlin

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Nov 2026 Phoenix Hagen Home 102-72 W
1 Nov 2026 Bonn Away 88-95 L
28 Oct 2026 Bilbao Home 103-100 W
25 Oct 2026 Ulm Home 98-82 W
19 Oct 2026 Brose Baskets Home 83-71 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Bilbao 10 93.5 91.5
Alba Berlin 10 89.1 85.7

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Bilbao and Alba Berlin in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
28 Oct 2026 Champions League Alba Berlin vs Bilbao 103-100