Fresno State Bulldogs 95-92 Georgia State

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is Fresno State Bulldogs to win with -7.5 handicap, with a 67% estimated probability. We also predict Fresno State Bulldogs to win at 79%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Fresno State Bulldogs to win with -7.5 handicap L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    67%
    Stake Med 38.3/100
    Odds 2.15 Fezbet Recorded P/L -38.30
    Best odds 2.15 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Fresno State Bulldogs to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    79%
    Stake Med 27.8/100
    Odds 1.41 1xBet Recorded P/L +11.39
    Best odds 1.41 1xBet
  3. Pick 3 Total score over 146.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    62%
    Stake Low 22.0/100
    Odds 1.95 Fezbet Recorded P/L +20.90
    Best odds 1.95 Fezbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Fresno State Bulldogs to win with -7.5 handicap 67.0% 2.15 46.5% +20.5 pp
Fresno State Bulldogs to win 79.0% 1.41 70.9% +8.1 pp
Total score over 146.0 62.0% 1.95 51.3% +10.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
4 Mar 2026 San Jose State Home 82-68 W
25 Feb 2026 Colorado State Away 70-74 L
18 Feb 2026 Wyoming Cowboys Away 82-92 L
14 Feb 2026 Air Force Home 93-63 W
31 Jan 2026 Air Force Away 79-62 W

Georgia State

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Nov 2026 Charlotte 49ers Away 67-77 L
2 Nov 2026 Bowling Green Home 73-76 L
3 Mar 2026 Louisiana-Lafayette Away 75-84 L
28 Feb 2026 Old Dominion Monarchs Home 73-81 L
25 Feb 2026 Coastal Carolina Home 71-76 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Fresno State Bulldogs 10 75.4 67.2
Georgia State 10 69.2 77.8