Texas Tech Red Raiders 84-78 Illinois Fighting Illini

Finished

For this NCAA match, BetFTW's top pick is under 164.0 points, with a 74% estimated probability. We also predict under 162.0 points at 71%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Total score under 164.0 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    74%
    Stake High 52.3/100
    Odds 2.20 Fezbet Recorded P/L +62.80
    Best odds 2.20 Fezbet
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 162.0 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    71%
    Stake Med 44.6/100
    Odds 2.10 Vbet Sport Recorded P/L -44.64
    Best odds 2.10 Vbet Sport
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Total score under 164.0 74.0% 2.20 45.5% +28.5 pp
Total score under 162.0 71.0% 2.10 47.6% +23.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
6 Nov 2026 Bethune Cookman Home 76-58 W
3 Nov 2026 Jackson State Home 76-42 W
20 Mar 2026 Akron Zips Home 91-71 W
4 Mar 2026 TCU Home 65-73 L
28 Feb 2026 Iowa State Cyclones Away 82-73 W

Illinois Fighting Illini

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
3 Nov 2026 Fairleigh Dickinson Home 120-45 W
4 Apr 2026 Connecticut Huskies Away 62-71 L
27 Mar 2026 Houston Cougars Away 65-55 W
20 Mar 2026 Penn Quakers Home 105-70 W
13 Mar 2026 Wisconsin Badgets Home 88-91 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Points scored Points conceded
Texas Tech Red Raiders 10 80.9 69.0
Illinois Fighting Illini 10 85.9 68.6

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Texas Tech Red Raiders and Illinois Fighting Illini in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Nov 2025 NCAA Illinois Fighting Illini vs Texas Tech Red Raiders 81-77