Burnley 0-4 Leeds

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is Burnley to win, with a 33% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 30%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Burnley to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    33%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 3.75 1xBet Recorded P/L -8.64
    Best odds 3.75 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    30%
    Stake Low 5.9/100
    Odds 3.90 1xBet Recorded P/L -5.86
    Best odds 3.90 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Burnley to win 33.0% 3.75 26.7% +6.3 pp
Draw 30.0% 3.90 25.6% +4.4 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Burnley

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
10 May 2021 Fulham Away 2-0 W
3 May 2021 West Ham Home 1-2 L
25 Apr 2021 Wolverhampton Wanderers Away 4-0 W
18 Apr 2021 Manchester United Away 1-3 L
11 Apr 2021 Newcastle Home 1-2 L

Leeds

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
8 May 2021 Tottenham Hotspur Home 3-1 W
1 May 2021 Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0-2 L
25 Apr 2021 Manchester United Home 0-0 D
19 Apr 2021 Liverpool Home 1-1 D
10 Apr 2021 Manchester City Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Burnley 10 1.50 1.70
Leeds 10 1.00 1.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Burnley and Leeds in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Dec 2020 Premier League Leeds vs Burnley 1-0