Southampton 1-1 Manchester United

Finished

For this Premier League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 28% estimated probability. We also predict Southampton to win at 22%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    28%
    Stake Low 7.4/100
    Odds 4.50 ComeOn Recorded P/L +26.01
    Best odds 4.50 ComeOn
  2. Pick 2 Southampton to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    22%
    Stake Low 5.8/100
    Odds 5.80 Marathonbet Recorded P/L -5.75
    Best odds 5.80 Marathonbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 28.0% 4.50 22.2% +5.8 pp
Southampton to win 22.0% 5.80 17.2% +4.8 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Southampton

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Aug 2021 Everton Away 1-3 L
4 Aug 2021 Levante Home 1-0 W
31 Jul 2021 Swansea City Away 3-1 W
27 Jul 2021 Cardiff City Away 4-0 W
23 May 2021 West Ham Away 0-3 L

Manchester United

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
14 Aug 2021 Leeds Home 5-1 W
7 Aug 2021 Everton Home 4-0 W
28 Jul 2021 Brentford Home 2-2 D
24 Jul 2021 Queens Park Rangers Away 2-4 L
18 Jul 2021 Derby County Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Southampton 10 1.40 1.50
Manchester United 10 2.40 1.50

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Southampton and Manchester United in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
2 Feb 2021 Premier League Manchester United vs Southampton 9-0
29 Nov 2020 Premier League Southampton vs Manchester United 2-3