AFC Fylde 2-1 Southport

Finished

For this National League North match, BetFTW's top pick is Southport to win, with a 35% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 31%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Southport to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    35%
    Stake Low 24.3/100
    Odds 7.10 1xBet Recorded P/L -24.34
    Best odds 7.10 1xBet
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    31%
    Stake Low 14.0/100
    Odds 5.05 1xBet Recorded P/L -13.96
    Best odds 5.05 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Southport to win 35.0% 7.10 14.1% +20.9 pp
Draw 31.0% 5.05 19.8% +11.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

AFC Fylde

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Aug 2021 Hereford United Away 4-1 W
14 Aug 2021 Guiseley AFC Away 4-2 W
20 Jul 2021 Wigan Home 0-1 L
10 Jul 2021 Blackburn Rovers Home 0-1 L
16 Feb 2021 York City Away 3-1 W

Southport

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Aug 2021 Kidderminster Harriers Home 1-1 D
31 Jul 2021 Barrow AFC Home 2-1 W
17 Jul 2021 Huddersfield Town Home 0-2 L
10 Jul 2021 Blackpool Home 0-2 L
19 Jan 2021 Halifax Town Away 2-1 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
AFC Fylde 10 2.00 1.30
Southport 10 1.20 2.00