Alfreton Town 0-1 Chorley

Finished

For this National League North match, BetFTW's top pick is Alfreton Town to win, with a 48% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 38%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Alfreton Town to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    48%
    Stake Low 20.6/100
    Odds 2.90 Bwin Recorded P/L -20.63
    Best odds 2.90 Bwin
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    38%
    Stake Low 14.3/100
    Odds 3.61 Noxwin Recorded P/L -14.25
    Best odds 3.61 Noxwin
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Alfreton Town to win 48.0% 2.90 34.5% +13.5 pp
Draw 38.0% 3.61 27.7% +10.3 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Alfreton Town

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
28 Aug 2021 Darlington 1883 Away 3-2 W
3 Aug 2021 Grimsby Town Home 0-1 L
31 Jul 2021 Solihull Moors Home 1-2 L
27 Jul 2021 Burton Albion Home 2-1 W
28 Dec 2020 Kettering Town Home 3-3 D

Chorley

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Aug 2021 Telford United Away 0-3 L
27 Jul 2021 Bolton Wanderers Home 0-1 L
22 Jan 2021 Wolverhampton Wanderers Home 0-1 L
9 Jan 2021 Derby County Home 2-0 W
2 Jan 2021 AFC Fylde Away 0-4 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Alfreton Town 10 1.10 1.90
Chorley 10 0.90 1.40

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Alfreton Town and Chorley in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
12 Dec 2020 National League North Alfreton Town vs Chorley 1-1