CD Mafra 1-0 Vilafranquense

Finished

For this Segunda Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is Vilafranquense to win, with a 23% estimated probability. We also predict the draw at 27%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Vilafranquense to win L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    23%
    Stake Low 14.7/100
    Odds 10.25 Betano Recorded P/L -14.68
    Best odds 10.25 Betano
  2. Pick 2 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    27%
    Stake Low 8.3/100
    Odds 4.90 ComeOn Recorded P/L -8.28
    Best odds 4.90 ComeOn
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Vilafranquense to win 23.0% 10.25 9.8% +13.2 pp
Draw 27.0% 4.90 20.4% +6.6 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

CD Mafra

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Aug 2021 Academico de Viseu Away 3-1 W
14 Aug 2021 CD Feirense Home 0-1 L
24 Jul 2021 Belenenses Home 1-0 W
20 May 2021 Estoril Away 0-1 L
15 May 2021 Arouca Home 0-1 L

Vilafranquense

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
23 Aug 2021 SC Covilha Home 1-1 D
15 Aug 2021 CD Nacional Away 0-4 L
9 Aug 2021 Penafiel Home 0-1 L
25 Jul 2021 Arouca Home 0-3 L
19 May 2021 Academica Away 2-2 D

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
CD Mafra 10 0.90 1.30
Vilafranquense 10 0.60 2.00

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between CD Mafra and Vilafranquense in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
4 Apr 2021 Segunda Liga Vilafranquense vs CD Mafra 2-1
30 Nov 2020 Segunda Liga CD Mafra vs Vilafranquense 0-1