CD Trofense 2-1 Penafiel

Finished

For this Segunda Liga match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 43% estimated probability. We also predict CD Trofense to win at 36%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    43%
    Stake Low 15.9/100
    Odds 3.10 Bet3000 Recorded P/L -15.86
    Best odds 3.10 Bet3000
  2. Pick 2 CD Trofense to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    36%
    Stake Low 11.0/100
    Odds 3.56 Melbet Recorded P/L +28.16
    Best odds 3.56 Melbet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 43.0% 3.10 32.3% +10.7 pp
CD Trofense to win 36.0% 3.56 28.1% +7.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

CD Trofense

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
22 Aug 2021 Benfica B Away 1-2 L
7 Aug 2021 Porto B Away 2-2 D
29 May 2021 Braga B Away 1-1 D
9 May 2021 Braga B Home 3-0 W
3 Apr 2021 Maritimo B Away 0-0 D

Penafiel

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
21 Aug 2021 Casa Pia AC Home 1-0 W
15 Aug 2021 Benfica B Home 0-1 L
9 Aug 2021 Vilafranquense Away 1-0 W
25 Jul 2021 Moreirense Home 5-4 W
21 May 2021 CD Feirense Away 1-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
CD Trofense 6 1.33 1.17
Penafiel 10 1.50 1.20