Ajaccio 1-0 Paris FC

Finished

For this Ligue 2 match, BetFTW's top pick is Ajaccio to win, with a 42% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 45%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Ajaccio to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    42%
    Stake Low 11.3/100
    Odds 2.89 Noxwin Recorded P/L +31.04
    Best odds 3.12 Noxwin
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    45%
    Stake Low 9.7/100
    Odds 2.56 1xBet Recorded P/L -10.84
    Best odds 2.61 Марафон
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Ajaccio to win 42.0% 3.12 32.1% +9.9 pp
Total score over 2.5 45.0% 2.61 38.3% +6.7 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Ajaccio

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Sochaux Home 1-0 W
28 Aug 2021 Guingamp Away 1-1 D
25 Aug 2021 Caen Home 2-0 W
7 Aug 2021 Auxerre Away 0-0 D
31 Jul 2021 Amiens Home 3-1 W

Paris FC

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Guingamp Home 0-1 L
28 Aug 2021 Quevilly Away 1-0 W
16 Aug 2021 Auxerre Home 1-1 D
7 Aug 2021 Le Havre Away 2-1 W
24 Jul 2021 Grenoble Away 4-0 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Ajaccio 10 1.40 0.80
Paris FC 10 2.00 0.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Ajaccio and Paris FC in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
8 May 2021 Ligue 2 Ajaccio vs Paris FC 1-1
8 Jan 2021 Ligue 2 Paris FC vs Ajaccio 1-1