Chelsea 1-0 Zenit St Petersburg

Finished

For this Champions League match, BetFTW's top pick is the draw, with a 20% estimated probability. We also predict under 2.5 goals at 44%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Draw L Settled - pick not won.
    Estimated probability
    20%
    Stake Low 9.5/100
    Odds 8.60 Stake.com Recorded P/L -9.47
    Best odds 8.60 Stake.com
  2. Pick 2 Total score under 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    44%
    Stake Low 8.6/100
    Odds 2.58 1xBet Recorded P/L +13.52
    Best odds 2.58 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Draw 20.0% 8.60 11.6% +8.4 pp
Total score under 2.5 44.0% 2.58 38.8% +5.2 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Chelsea

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Aston Villa Home 3-0 W
28 Aug 2021 Liverpool Away 1-1 D
22 Aug 2021 Arsenal Away 2-0 W
14 Aug 2021 Crystal Palace Home 3-0 W
11 Aug 2021 Villarreal Home 1-1 D

Zenit St Petersburg

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Akhmat Grozny Home 3-1 W
26 Aug 2021 CSKA Moscow Home 1-0 W
21 Aug 2021 Ufa Away 1-1 D
15 Aug 2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Away 1-1 D
7 Aug 2021 Krasnodar Home 3-2 W

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Chelsea 10 1.80 0.80
Zenit St Petersburg 10 2.10 1.10