Eastleigh 4-1 Dover Athletic

Finished

For this National League match, BetFTW's top pick is Eastleigh to win, with a 72% estimated probability. We also predict over 2.5 goals at 57%.

How we calculate predictions

Bet For The Win

  1. Pick 1 Eastleigh to win W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    72%
    Stake Med 36.6/100
    Odds 1.79 Novibet Recorded P/L +31.76
    Best odds 1.83 Dafabet
  2. Pick 2 Total score over 2.5 W Settled - pick won.
    Estimated probability
    57%
    Stake Low 6.4/100
    Odds 1.85 1xBet Recorded P/L +5.45
    Best odds 1.85 1xBet
Odds updated

Estimated probability vs. the odds

The implied probability is 1 divided by the best recorded decimal odds, so it includes the bookmaker's margin. A positive difference is the edge behind the pick.

Pick Estimated probability Best recorded odds Implied probability Difference
Eastleigh to win 72.0% 1.83 54.6% +17.4 pp
Total score over 2.5 57.0% 1.85 54.1% +2.9 pp

Recent form

The latest finished matches BetFTW recorded for each side before this event, most recent first.

Eastleigh

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Barnet Away 1-1 D
30 Aug 2021 Bromley Away 0-3 L
28 Aug 2021 Wrexham Home 0-2 L
29 May 2021 Solihull Moors Away 0-2 L
25 May 2021 Altrincham Away 1-1 D

Dover Athletic

Date Opponent Home/Away Score Result
11 Sep 2021 Chesterfield Home 0-0 D
4 Sep 2021 Altrincham Away 2-3 L
30 Aug 2021 Boreham Wood Home 0-1 L
28 Aug 2021 Maidenhead United Away 0-2 L
30 Jan 2021 Yeovil Town Away 1-3 L

Scoring averages

Per-match averages over each side's latest recorded matches.

Team Matches Goals scored Goals conceded
Eastleigh 10 1.00 1.20
Dover Athletic 10 0.90 1.70

Head-to-head

Previous meetings between Eastleigh and Dover Athletic in BetFTW's records.

Date Competition Match Score
27 Oct 2020 National League Dover Athletic vs Eastleigh 3-2